{
  "version": 1,
  "registration": {
    "strategy_id": 21,
    "hypothesis_id": 21,
    "created": true,
    "sha256": "4ea370465229b1104805ce5cd8b83ba92ba06787ef12397c240ab0f261e8411c"
  },
  "historical_matrix": [
    {
      "cmc_id": 1,
      "symbol": "BTC",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 2,
      "symbol": "LTC",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 52,
      "symbol": "XRP",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 74,
      "symbol": "DOGE",
      "admission": "excluded",
      "identity_status": "unresolved_historical_exchange_identity",
      "reasons": [
        "memecoin_architecture_3_2"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 328,
      "symbol": "XMR",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "unresolved_historical_exchange_identity",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_bitvavo_listing_unresolved",
        "historical_rules_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 512,
      "symbol": "XLM",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 825,
      "symbol": "USDT",
      "admission": "excluded",
      "identity_status": "unresolved_historical_exchange_identity",
      "reasons": [
        "stablecoin"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 1027,
      "symbol": "ETH",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 1321,
      "symbol": "ETC",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 1765,
      "symbol": "EOS",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "unresolved_historical_exchange_identity",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_bitvavo_listing_unresolved",
        "historical_rules_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 1831,
      "symbol": "BCH",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 1839,
      "symbol": "BNB",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 1958,
      "symbol": "TRX",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 1966,
      "symbol": "MANA",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 1975,
      "symbol": "LINK",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 2010,
      "symbol": "ADA",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 2011,
      "symbol": "XTZ",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 2280,
      "symbol": "FIL",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 2416,
      "symbol": "THETA",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "unresolved_historical_exchange_identity",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_bitvavo_listing_unresolved",
        "historical_rules_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 2502,
      "symbol": "HT",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "unresolved_historical_exchange_identity",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_bitvavo_listing_unresolved",
        "historical_rules_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 2563,
      "symbol": "TUSD",
      "admission": "excluded",
      "identity_status": "unresolved_historical_exchange_identity",
      "reasons": [
        "stablecoin"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 3077,
      "symbol": "VET",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 3155,
      "symbol": "QNT",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 3330,
      "symbol": "USDP",
      "admission": "excluded",
      "identity_status": "unresolved_historical_exchange_identity",
      "reasons": [
        "stablecoin"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 3408,
      "symbol": "USDC",
      "admission": "excluded",
      "identity_status": "unresolved_historical_exchange_identity",
      "reasons": [
        "stablecoin"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 3635,
      "symbol": "CRO",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 3717,
      "symbol": "WBTC",
      "admission": "excluded",
      "identity_status": "unresolved_historical_exchange_identity",
      "reasons": [
        "wrapped"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 3794,
      "symbol": "ATOM",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 3890,
      "symbol": "MATIC",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "unresolved_historical_exchange_identity",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_bitvavo_listing_unresolved",
        "historical_rules_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 3897,
      "symbol": "OKB",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "unresolved_historical_exchange_identity",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_bitvavo_listing_unresolved",
        "historical_rules_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 3957,
      "symbol": "LEO",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "unresolved_historical_exchange_identity",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_bitvavo_listing_unresolved",
        "historical_rules_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 4030,
      "symbol": "ALGO",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 4066,
      "symbol": "CHZ",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 4172,
      "symbol": "LUNC",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "unresolved_historical_exchange_identity",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_bitvavo_listing_unresolved",
        "historical_rules_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 4195,
      "symbol": "FTT",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 4558,
      "symbol": "FLOW",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "unresolved_historical_exchange_identity",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_bitvavo_listing_unresolved",
        "historical_rules_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 4642,
      "symbol": "HBAR",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 4687,
      "symbol": "BUSD",
      "admission": "excluded",
      "identity_status": "unresolved_historical_exchange_identity",
      "reasons": [
        "stablecoin"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 4943,
      "symbol": "DAI",
      "admission": "excluded",
      "identity_status": "unresolved_historical_exchange_identity",
      "reasons": [
        "stablecoin"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 5426,
      "symbol": "SOL",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 5805,
      "symbol": "AVAX",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 5994,
      "symbol": "SHIB",
      "admission": "excluded",
      "identity_status": "unresolved_historical_exchange_identity",
      "reasons": [
        "memecoin_architecture_3_2"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 6210,
      "symbol": "SAND",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 6535,
      "symbol": "NEAR",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 6636,
      "symbol": "DOT",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 6892,
      "symbol": "EGLD",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 7083,
      "symbol": "UNI",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 7278,
      "symbol": "AAVE",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 8916,
      "symbol": "ICP",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 11419,
      "symbol": "TON",
      "admission": "excluded_later_listing",
      "identity_status": "unresolved_historical_exchange_identity",
      "reasons": [
        "TON_202408"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 18679,
      "symbol": "XCN",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "unresolved_historical_exchange_identity",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_bitvavo_listing_unresolved",
        "historical_rules_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 18876,
      "symbol": "APE",
      "admission": "blocked",
      "identity_status": "native_series_crosswalk_with_current_provider_name_network",
      "reasons": [
        "historical_rules_unavailable",
        "historical_contract_or_native_identity_not_fully_attested",
        "intraday_status_unavailable"
      ]
    },
    {
      "cmc_id": 21794,
      "symbol": "APT",
      "admission": "excluded_later_listing",
      "identity_status": "unresolved_historical_exchange_identity",
      "reasons": [
        "APT_20230404"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "source_notes": [
    {
      "source": "https://bitvavo.com/es/news/assets-overview-aug2024",
      "published_date": "2024-09-02",
      "finding": "El anuncio incluye TON entre altas de agosto de 2024; excluido de la ventana 2022.",
      "retrieval": "web tool visible text; direct HTTP403 retained; date not exact listing timestamp"
    },
    {
      "source": "https://multiversx.com/faq",
      "finding": "El proyecto sitúa el cambio de nombre Elrond a MultiversX en noviembre de 2022; EGLD sigue siendo el identificador nativo. No equiparar cambio de marca con conversión de unidades.",
      "retrieval": "web tool; current FAQ, not publication observed in 2022"
    },
    {
      "source": "https://docs.bitvavo.com/docs/rest-api/get-markets/",
      "finding": "Catálogo actual publica mínimos, precisión, estado y tipos; no contiene vigencia desde 2022.",
      "retrieval": "web tool and captured current public API"
    },
    {
      "source": "https://economics.yale.edu/sites/default/files/2022-10/LiuTsyvinskiWu2019%20COMMON%20RISK%20FACTORS.pdf",
      "finding": "Dos semanas y quintiles constituyen la referencia documental; diseño local comprando solo y ponderación igual es adaptación explícita.",
      "retrieval": "web tool PDF; secciones 2 y 3"
    }
  ],
  "historical_rules_status": "not_recovered; CDX HTTP503 not proof archive is empty",
  "observed_preflight": {
    "scope": "single_observed_date_preflight_not_backtest",
    "decision_checked": "2026-10-12T01:00:00Z",
    "checks": {
      "identities": true,
      "complete_universe": true,
      "rules_at_decision": true,
      "prices_and_exits": true,
      "availability": true,
      "costs": false,
      "execution_adapter": false,
      "frozen_manifest": false,
      "hypothesis_registered": true
    },
    "gate": {
      "admitted": false,
      "blockers": [
        "costs",
        "execution_adapter",
        "frozen_manifest"
      ]
    },
    "economic_results_computed": false,
    "tested_engine_suite": 241,
    "independent_historical_period": false
  },
  "observed_members": [
    {
      "market": "AVAX-EUR",
      "coingecko_id": "avalanche-2",
      "matching_rules": 1,
      "primary_closes": 15,
      "sensitivity_closes": 18
    },
    {
      "market": "SUI-EUR",
      "coingecko_id": "sui",
      "matching_rules": 1,
      "primary_closes": 15,
      "sensitivity_closes": 18
    },
    {
      "market": "LINK-EUR",
      "coingecko_id": "chainlink",
      "matching_rules": 1,
      "primary_closes": 15,
      "sensitivity_closes": 18
    },
    {
      "market": "ADA-EUR",
      "coingecko_id": "cardano",
      "matching_rules": 1,
      "primary_closes": 15,
      "sensitivity_closes": 18
    },
    {
      "market": "BTC-EUR",
      "coingecko_id": "bitcoin",
      "matching_rules": 1,
      "primary_closes": 15,
      "sensitivity_closes": 18
    },
    {
      "market": "SOL-EUR",
      "coingecko_id": "solana",
      "matching_rules": 1,
      "primary_closes": 15,
      "sensitivity_closes": 18
    },
    {
      "market": "TAO-EUR",
      "coingecko_id": "bittensor",
      "matching_rules": 1,
      "primary_closes": 15,
      "sensitivity_closes": 18
    },
    {
      "market": "BCH-EUR",
      "coingecko_id": "bitcoin-cash",
      "matching_rules": 1,
      "primary_closes": 15,
      "sensitivity_closes": 18
    },
    {
      "market": "BNB-EUR",
      "coingecko_id": "binancecoin",
      "matching_rules": 1,
      "primary_closes": 15,
      "sensitivity_closes": 18
    },
    {
      "market": "TRX-EUR",
      "coingecko_id": "tron",
      "matching_rules": 1,
      "primary_closes": 15,
      "sensitivity_closes": 18
    },
    {
      "market": "XRP-EUR",
      "coingecko_id": "ripple",
      "matching_rules": 1,
      "primary_closes": 15,
      "sensitivity_closes": 18
    },
    {
      "market": "HBAR-EUR",
      "coingecko_id": "hedera-hashgraph",
      "matching_rules": 1,
      "primary_closes": 15,
      "sensitivity_closes": 18
    },
    {
      "market": "XLM-EUR",
      "coingecko_id": "stellar",
      "matching_rules": 1,
      "primary_closes": 15,
      "sensitivity_closes": 18
    },
    {
      "market": "LTC-EUR",
      "coingecko_id": "litecoin",
      "matching_rules": 1,
      "primary_closes": 15,
      "sensitivity_closes": 18
    },
    {
      "market": "NEAR-EUR",
      "coingecko_id": "near",
      "matching_rules": 1,
      "primary_closes": 15,
      "sensitivity_closes": 18
    },
    {
      "market": "UNI-EUR",
      "coingecko_id": "uniswap",
      "matching_rules": 1,
      "primary_closes": 15,
      "sensitivity_closes": 18
    },
    {
      "market": "AAVE-EUR",
      "coingecko_id": "aave",
      "matching_rules": 1,
      "primary_closes": 15,
      "sensitivity_closes": 18
    },
    {
      "market": "ETH-EUR",
      "coingecko_id": "ethereum",
      "matching_rules": 1,
      "primary_closes": 15,
      "sensitivity_closes": 18
    },
    {
      "market": "HYPE-EUR",
      "coingecko_id": "hyperliquid",
      "matching_rules": 1,
      "primary_closes": 15,
      "sensitivity_closes": 18
    },
    {
      "market": "CRO-EUR",
      "coingecko_id": "crypto-com-chain",
      "matching_rules": 1,
      "primary_closes": 15,
      "sensitivity_closes": 18
    },
    {
      "market": "ONDO-EUR",
      "coingecko_id": "ondo-finance",
      "matching_rules": 1,
      "primary_closes": 15,
      "sensitivity_closes": 18
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